An Early Read On Hawaii’s Open Senate Seat

With the recent announcement from Democratic Senator Daniel Akaka that he will not run for re-election in 2012, speculation has focused on former two-term Republican governor Linda Lingle running for his seat. To get a sense of what chance she might have, we took a look at her favorability ratings in the exit poll that Edison Research conducted during 2010 election:Slide1.jpg

Based on our most recent exit poll data, Gov. Lingle will start the race in a difficult position in the Democratic-leaning Hawaii, especially with favorite son President Obama at the top of the ticket helping the eventual Democratic candidate. If you are looking for more information on this subject, Nate Silver of the New York Times recently wrote a piece that pointed to similar challenges for Ms. Lingle.

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